I have no crystal ball, I do not practice the black arts, I don't read minds, and I don't have my finger on the pulse of the nation of which half has none. This is a guess, an educated hunch. There is oodles of analysis involved, but I am analyzing something which does not yet exist in concrete. But here we go:

PRESIDENT BUSH (363): Alaska, Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.

JF KERRY (175): California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington, and the District of f'in Columbia.

If there are any I want to say lack certainty, they'd be: New Hampshire, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. I think we're wading through a lot of media pundits confusing themselves and each other, afraid to venture from their pre-approved model lest they look like buffoons to an international audience. As you might have noticed by now, I have no such qualms. 

Popular: Bush- 51.8%, JF – 47.4%, Ralph & co. – 0.8%.

Tomorrow promises to be a fun day.

Let's roll.


Steven Taylor at PoliBlog has his Senate projections up. (He calls Thune to off Tommy in SD.)

Infinitely useful for the political junkies amongst us is his handy-dandy guide to all things non-Presidential on the various ballots tomorrow.



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